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Joe Biden Back as the Favorite in 2020 US Presidential Election Odds

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Bet $100 on Joe Biden, win $1,000 if he wins; Here's how 'political betting' works

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Politics Gambling Show - Presidential Odds - The Opening Line Report

Joe Biden just hit his lowest odds yet to be Next President , at odds of [1. No politician has had a better crisis than Rishi Sunak β€” the young, telegenic Chancellor who created the popular furlough scheme. Odds of [7. Trajectory, however, is moving fast in the wrong direction. Right up until polling day, people were backing alternative Democrats to replace Clinton on the ticket. Both he and down-ballot Republicans are staring at catastrophic defeat. The localised numbers from the same pollster are arguably even grimmer for the president. Just as we were digesting the first releases, a new scandal involving long-term legal stress blew up. Click here to read the full article, free of charge, at gamblerspick. As the market implies, one man is well ahead of the rest. It comes in the wake of a terrible news cycle for the government. Kow-towing to President Xi over Chinese concentration camps, whilst begging for help to get re-elected, for example. For once, I think there is real substance behind this gamble on Pence. The move for Biden marks a distinct turning point. We are in uncharted territory. If not, why not, and what is the response to be now he knows? Of the elected presidents who came from behind to win re-election, how behind were they? Given how fake news and confected scandals are even more prevalent now, expect similar drama in That, however, seems a long way from what could be a ruinous July for Trump. Their current position is unsustainable. Second, it aggravated a media who were already revolting over their treatment. Trump is in very serious trouble. First, it squandered much public goodwill. Buckle up β€” will be even crazier. Having won such a big majority and still leading the polls, there is a chance Johnson could be in office for a decade. George Floyd protests. Plenty of time for a backbencher or even a newcomer to emerge. Whereas he owed his job to being an undeniable electoral asset for the Tories, he could soon be a liability. The image of a part-time PM, who misses Cobra meetings and leaves unelected advisor Dominic Cummings in charge, is taking hold. Moreover, colleagues are apparently very impressed with his intellect, focus and skills displayed in their Zoom meetings. My impression over the weekend is that the Trump machine is shellshocked. As we saw with Theresa May, the Conservative Party does not tolerate unpopular leaders. Less than a third of the public approve of their measures. True, he has defied expectations, once in an election, twice in somehow managing to shake off the Mueller Report and imprisonment of numerous key allies. In , Biden, Pence, Bernie Sanders and Paul Ryan generated large trading volumes even after both parties had confirmed different candidates. A second common argument for backing Trump involves the electoral college. Geoffrey Berman, the Manhattan prosecutor overseeing numerous cases regarding Trump and various associates, was effectively sacked by the Attorney General.

The oddschecker politics mover is Mike Penceupon reports that Trump might withdraw from the race. Claims that Russia was paying the Taliban to kill US troops, yet Trump had yet to formulate any sort of response. Brexit was delivered, although the post-transition agreement implications are yet to play out and remain an issue of profound importance.

Trump is in a world of trouble. Trump is now behind by Having long oddschecker politics that there is a clear anti-Trump majority and that this election would be a referendum on him, I have no intention on reversing my series of lays on oddschecker politics average 2.

As we are constantly reminded, remember what happened in Moreover as an incumbent, there is even less historic precedent for such a turnaround.

If one lesson read article to be surprised by nothing in politics anymore, another regards how betting markets are moved by even the wildest speculation.

The Vice President has more than halved in odds from [ Bizarre as it may sound, this is actually quite normal for a US election. Covid spreading across America, with increasingly terrible infection numbers.

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Both parties hacked by the Russian state. The story appears to be confirmed by the range of media and intelligence sources. Investigations and perhaps imminent charges, will carry on as normal. More significant are the criticisms personal to Johnson, emanating from friends, rather than enemies. Click here to read the full article, free of charge, at gambling. From substantial sums being matched at [1. We know what happened next. He contracted Covid and needed intensive care before recovering. There are, of course, more than four months until polling day, for Trump to turn things around. Could it all be coming together? All those subjects are hurting him. The day that Hillary Clinton collapsed with pneumonia in Manhattan remains the most surreal and dramatic I can ever recall in political betting. Trump holding an indoor rally amidst fast rising numbers in Tulsa β€” scene of the worst ever massacre of African Americans β€” coinciding with Juneteenth celebrations marking the end of slavery. Johnson secured his place in Tory folklore by securing their biggest majority since the s. To be fair, there is little suggestion of imminent change. It is almost two years since I predicted on these pages that corruption would finish Trump , forcing him to withdraw in Four years since I first discussed the threat from his relationship with Vladimir Putin. Over the past month, an average of K has been matched per day. Trump has so far denied being briefed on this intelligence β€” a defence that few experts find credible. Over the past week, numerous well-placed Westminster journalists reported deep unease among Tory MPs. On the ropes, facing a series of potential knockout blows. Then on Friday, arguably the worst emerged. Click here to read the full article at betting. Those are the only comebacks by an elected incumbent. Considering how bad the news cycle has been, they will be encouraged. The election produced unprecedented drama. The next month β€” as this latest Russia story evolves, the Supreme Court rules and his niece Mary Trump publishes her damning book β€” may prove the tipping point. Whereas he gained tremendous public sympathy whilst ill, distracting from failures and his slow response to the Covid crisis, Brand Boris is disintegrating in office. I have said from the outset that Trumpism was unsustainable. The Supreme Court will rule imminently whether he must release his financial and tax records β€” including the infamous relationship with Deutsche Bank. Click here to read the full article, free of charge, for betting. Then there is the ever growing band of former White House colleagues and senior Republicans lining up to condemn him. The entrenched divide that has hardened since Brexit persists. As in , he could afford to lose the popular vote and stay in power β€” by winning the swing states. It is near impossible to keep up with the US news cycle. The next election is not due until but there is a good chance they will switch before then to somebody deemed more electable. The Dominic Cummings lockdown scandal may have at least exacerbated two problems. To reiterate the obvious, political fortunes change faster than ever. A wide differential between pollsters and election models versus betting markets has been evident for months, and still exists. No incumbent president has won from being further behind than 2. With a good campaign, for example. What may ultimately prove to be the biggest political gamble of all-time may be underway. Both approval ratings and head-to-head polls against Biden are abysmal. Their management of the Covid crisis is derided around the world and coming in for ever more criticism at home. That long-term scenario, however, is looking less likely. That he is considering withdrawal. This market is moving. Obama trailed Romney by 1. If he was briefed, he must explain why no action was taken.